EFTA02444385.pdf

"Stefan KrauB, Laura Martignon & Ulrich Hoffrage Max Planck Institute For Human Development"

"Stefan KrauB, Laura Martignon & Ulrich Hoffrage Max Planck Institute For Human Development"

"Stefan KrauB, Laura Martignon & Ulrich Hoffrage Max Planck Institute For Human Development"

"Kahneman and Iversky (1972) affirmed: In his evaluation of evidence, man is not Bayesian at all."

"Gigerenzer and Hoffrage (1995) focused on another aspect of the problem: the representation of uncertainty."

"In chapter 18 of the same book David M. Eddy stressed that medical doctors do not follow Bayes'formula"

"Gigerenzer and Hoffrage (1995) also used a tree (see Figure 1). Their tree contains the information"

"Klaus Hasselmann from the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology in Hamburg is presently applying a Bayesian analysis"

"The mathematician Anthony O' Hagan elicits on behalf of the Britsh government hydrological conductivity of the rock at Sellafield from experts"